Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① At 07: 50, the outlook index of large-scale manufacturing industry in Japan in the fourth quarter is short-sighted; ② At 10: 35, Hunter, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, made a speech; ③ 15:00 UK merchandise trade account for October; ④ At 16: 00, Villeroy, Governor of the European Central Bank and Governor of the Bank of France, made a speech; ⑤ 17:00 Speech by Robert Holzmann, ECB Management Committee; 6. At 18: 00, the Bundesbank announced the semi-annual forecast report, and the industrial output of the euro zone in October; ⑦ 19:00 Speech by Mario Centeno, ECB Governing Committee and Governor of Portuguese Central Bank; 8: 21: 30 US import price index in November.KeyBanc keeps track of Salesforce Co., Ltd., with an over-rated rating and a target price of $440.Trump: I met Harold Daggett, president of Ila.
The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Fitch: It is estimated that the sales growth rate of food, beverage, tobacco and consumer goods will be in low single digits in 2025.Trump: I met Harold Daggett, president of Ila.
International precious metal futures closed down sharply, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87%, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87% to $2,705.2 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell by 4.25% to $31.565 per ounce.The Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue the gale blue warning at 06: 00 on December 13th. It is estimated that there will be 5 winds and gusts of 6-8 in parts of central and eastern Inner Mongolia, northwestern Shanxi, northern Hebei, central Henan and southwestern Shandong from 08: 00 on December 13th to 08: 00 on December 14th. Most of the Yellow Sea, most of the East China Sea, Taiwan Province Strait, east of Taiwan Province, bashi channel, northern and central South China Sea, and Beibu Gulf will have strong winds of 7-8 grades and gusts of 9 grades.Top 20 US stock turnover on December 12: Adobe's poor performance led to a sharp drop of 13.7%. On Thursday, Adobe, the fourth US stock turnover, closed down 13.69%, the biggest one-day drop in two years, with a turnover of 8.32 billion US dollars. The company's performance guidance fell short of market expectations, which aggravated investors' concerns that the creative software giant might be subverted by emerging artificial intelligence (AI) startups. The company expects revenue of $23.4 billion in fiscal year 2025, which is less than the $23.8 billion expected by analysts; Earnings per share are expected to be $20.20-$20.50, which is less than the analyst's expectation of $20.52. After Adobe announced its financial report and performance forecast, Bank of America Securities lowered its target price from $640 to $605, and Jefferies lowered its target price from $700 to $650. (Global Market Broadcast)
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14